Below average gas storage levels edges prices higher

Gas prices at the NBP edged higher on Friday, posting their third consecutive day of gains.

Below-average European storage levels continue to serve as a long-term, underlying source of support at the front end of the curve.

According to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe, aggregate EU levels stood at 72.4% as of Saturday 3rd October, approximately 10% below the same date last year, highlighting increased injection requirements heading into a winter supply season marked by uncertainty.

Reports of intense conflict close to the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, a vital shipping lane serving as the southern gateway to the Red Sea, met a mixed response this morning, leaving prices largely unchanged from Friday’s close.

Moving in step with gas, baseload power finished the week slightly higher on Friday despite a noticeably softer generation mix.

Wind output strengthened from 25.8% of the stack to 41.0%, while gas-fired generation fell from 40.0% to 28.0%, lifting renewables from 43.7% to 56.9%.

Ahead of the weekend, market participants eyed renewed Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb concerns, alongside the expected return of nuclear units at Heysham 1 and Hartlepool.

If you want to see more information on the wholesale market trends subscribe to our weekly report here.

Price commentary courtesy of Crown Gas and Power Power report courtesy of Crown Gas and Power

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